Written by Matt Stevenson
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 10, 2025 at 9:53 PM
" readability="31.5">Here is the xG from the Brentford game where we had the better chances but lost. Your personality will determine if you are seeing this as just a blip that will naturally right itself, or something more problematic. The opening half-hour didn’t really have any good chances, but AFCB went 1 up in the 17th minute when a cross from Kerkez was deflected into the Brentford net by Janelt (so no register on xG). On 30 minutes Brentford equalised, a corner came in from our left and Wissa beat Kepa to the ball to head in (1 in 6). Two minutes later Brentford had another good chance with Schade shooting wide (1 in 6). Bournemouth went down the other end and Evanilson had a chance (it was rated 1 in 4, but the stretch required made it more difficult). At the break, the xG was AFCB 0.73 and Brentford 0.50.
AFCB had a big chance in the opening minute of the second half, a Kluivert cross was met by Semenyo who headed hard against the bar from 8 yards (rated 3 in 10, but it felt more of a sitter). Brentford were soaking up the pressure but went in front in the 70th minute, a long throw was missed by two Bournemouth players intent on wrestling Ajer and Norgaard finished well (1 in 6). Bournemouth had another big chance in the 79th minute as a superb cross from Sinisterra found Brooks rushing in 6 yards out. Anywhere but at the keeper and it was a goal, but it hit Flekken (nearly 1 in 2). After this, Brentford saw out the game well. The final xG was AFCB 1.67 Brentford 0.83, with understat having it a little closer, at 2.03 vs 1.60.
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:38 PM
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:38 PM
" readability="14">There were one changes to the team who drew at Spurs. Zabarnyi (27) came in for Hill after serving his three-game suspension with Cook (4) staying right back. The first sub was in the 67th minute with Christie (10) replaced by Sinisterra (17) with Semenyo (24) switching to the right, Sinisterra on the left and Tavernier (16) moving into central midfield. In the 79th minute, Adams (12) and Kluivert (19) were replaced by Brooks (7) and Hill (23). Cook moved into central midfield with Brooks into a central attacking midfielder role. In the 85th minute, Sinisterra was substituted due to injury with Jebberson (21) brought on to play up front, although the average position showed how well Brentford saw out the game
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:38 PM
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:38 PM
" readability="17">Three players had 72 touches: Cook, Huijsen and Tavernier. Tavernier had the most touches in the opposition half (52) with Kluivert having the most in the final third with 45.
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:39 PM
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Adams and Huijsen both attempted 55 passes. Tavernier made 41 passes in the opposition half, and he and Kluivert both made 32 passes in the final third with 14. We averaged 81% pass completion with Evanilson, Huijsen, Kluivedrt and Semenyo of the starting 11, having 85% or over success rate.
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:39 PM
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:39 PM
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:39 PM
" readability="13">AFCB players tried to take on a man 16 times being successful 5 times (Semenyo was successful 2 from 3 times).
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:40 PM
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AFCB players were tackled 18 times with Kluivert and Semenyo being tackled 5 times each.
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:40 PM
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AFCB had 44 touches in Brentford’s penalty area with Evanilson having 10 and Semenyo 9. Brentford had 26 touches in our penalty area.
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:40 PM
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:40 PM
" readability="22">AFCB created 17 chances (3 big). Brentford created 4 chances, 1 big. Evanilson and Kluivert created 3 chances each with the big chances created by Huijsen, Kluivert and Sinisterra.
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:41 PM
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We had 17 attempts (3 big) noting that chances can be provided after saves, deflections or a defensive error and not created. We hit the target 5 times. Brentford had 10 attempts, 2 big and hit the target 4 times. Evanilson and Semenyo had 4 chances each. The big chances fell to Brooks, Evanilson and Semenyo.
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:41 PM
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The Opta expected goals had Brooks as most likely to score (0.46) followed by Semenyo (0.44). For expected assists, Kluivert was top with 0.48 followed by Sinisterra (0.44).
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:41 PM
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:41 PM
" readability="9">AFCB won 21 of 43 aerials duals. Tavernier won 5 from 6.
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:42 PM
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AFCB won 16 of 23 tackles. Cook won 3 from 3 and Adams won 3 from 4.
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:42 PM
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:42 PM
" readability="17">Zabarnyi made the most defensive actions with 19. He made the most interceptions (4), and Cook made the most recoveries (9). Huijsen made most clearances (9) and Kerkez made our only blocks.
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:43 PM
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The foul count was AFCB 13, Brentford 7. Semenyo made 3 fouls, with Cook and Tavernier fouled twice each.
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Matt Stevenson · Mar 16, 2025 at 1:43 PM
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According to Opta, AFCB made no errors leading to a chance.