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Newcastle United won their first silverware in 56 years on Sunday - but how will the rest of their Premier League season turn out?
All our dreams came true on a chilly Sunday evening in North London. Everything we’d ever wished for unfolded as Newcastle United, massive underdogs on the day, swept aside Liverpool to win their first ever League Cup. It completed the set for the Magpies domestically - who already have a host of FA Cups and league titles under their belt - and ended a domestic drought that stretched back to 1955.
Realistically, the season could go one of three ways. The first way is lift off, with Carabao Cup success providing a springboard to potentially finish as high as fourth in the top flight, securing Champions League football back at St James’ Park. Option two would be the opposite - the drop off. Climbing the club’s Mount Everest may well be it for the campaign. And the third way would be more of the same - Newcastle have been remarkably inconsistent this season, able to get themselves up for the biggest challenges, but often falling short against those lower down the table.
So, how does AI tool Grok think Eddie Howe & Co will finish the campaign? We asked it. And here’s what it delivered.
How AI sees Newcastle United’s season so far
It says: “Newcastle’s season has been a mix of highs and lows. Their EFL Cup triumph is a massive boost, showing they can compete with top teams like Liverpool. In the Premier League, they’ve had inconsistent results, with notable wins (e.g., 4-3 vs. Nottingham Forest) but also heavy losses (e.g., 4-1 vs. Bournemouth, 4-0 vs. Manchester City). As of mid-March, they sit sixth in the table, three points behind fourth-placed Manchester City and 23 behind leaders Liverpool. Their FA Cup run ended with a 2-1 quarter-final loss to Brighton on March 2, leaving the Premier League as their sole focus after the EFL Cup victory.”
Key factors for the rest of Newcastle United’s Premier League season
It says: “Momentum from EFL Cup Win: Beating Liverpool could spark a surge in confidence. Posts on X suggest fans and observers believe this could propel them to a top-four or top-five finish.
“Injuries: Injuries have plagued Newcastle in past seasons. Sven Botman and Jamaal Lascelles are out, but their return (or lack thereof) will be crucial. Lewis Hall’s season-ending injury is a blow, but their squad depth has improved.
“Key Players: Alexander Isak (21 goals last season) remains pivotal, supported by Anthony Gordon and Bruno Guimarães. Keeping these stars fit and motivated will drive results.
“Competition: Chelsea, Manchester City, Arsenal, and Liverpool are all in the mix for top spots. Newcastle’s sixth-place position suggests they’re competitive but need consistency to climb higher.”
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What AI thinks will happen?
AI seems to think the Magpies will win five of their last 10 games in the division, with it picking out games against Everton and Ipswich Town as perfect for three points. It also thinks Howe’s men will return two losses, most likely at Arsenal and home to Chelsea, while it thinks draws could well be seen against Crystal Palace and Manchester United in the coming weeks. That sequence, it thinks, will see Newcastle finish fifth.
It says: “Given their EFL Cup run, they’ve faced Arsenal, Chelsea, Brentford, and Liverpool, suggesting a capacity to handle big games, though their league inconsistency is a concern. Newcastle’s remaining games will test their resilience. Assuming a standard 38-game season, they’ve played 28 matches by March 20 (based on typical scheduling and cup commitments). With 10 games left, here’s a plausible outcome: This yields 18-21 points from their remaining fixtures. If they’re on roughly 40-45 points now (a reasonable estimate for sixth place mid-March), they could finish with 58-66 points. Historically, 60-65 points often secures fifth or sixth, while 70+ is needed for fourth. Given their momentum and lack of European distractions, I predict a fifth-place finish with around 62-65 points, just missing Champions League but securing Europa League football (unless the EFL Cup berth adjusts this).
“Newcastle’s season will end on a high note with silverware and a return to European football. Their late-season form will hinge on maintaining momentum post-cup win and managing injuries, but Eddie Howe’s side has the tools to finish strong. A top-four push isn’t impossible, but fifth feels like the realistic ceiling given the competition.”