It's all or nothing when Manchester United and Tottenham meet in the Europa League final on Thursday (5am kickoff AEST).
For the winner of the all-English showdown in Bilbao there is the mother of all get-out-of-jail-free cards with entry to the Champions League.
For the loser, the abyss of no European football next year, the indignity of so many unwanted records broken, and uncertainty hanging over the futures of those who have presided over such a spectacular fall.
That's what's on the line at Estadio de San Mames when two English giants get one last shot at salvaging the season.
Noussair Mazraoui of Manchester United controls the ball under pressure from Son Heung-Min of Tottenham. Getty
### **Seasons of woe**
Long gone are the days when United dominated the Premier League and challenged the summit of European football on a regular basis. But even after 12 years without winning the English title, this season has represented a new low.
United is 16th out of 20 in the standings after a club-record 18 defeats in a single campaign since the Premier League began in 1992. It is also certain to register its worst-ever points total in the era, as well as its lowest finish.
“We have bigger things to deal with to get this club back on top. Tomorrow can help, and give us the strength to do what we have to do,” United coach Ruben Amorim said.
"People will look at our team in a different way if you win a European title. It will help us for the future. But it doesn’t change the season.”
Tottenham is one place below United having lost 21 times in the league — also a club record in the modern era.
“It’s hard to contextualise the last couple of years," Tottenham coach Ange Postecoglou said.
"I’ve tried to stick to the process of getting the club to where they can compete for trophies while rejuvenating the squad. It has been a fair challenge, but tomorrow there is the opportunity to achieve the main objective.”
Spurs - Champions League runner-up in 2019 - are aiming for a first trophy since the 2008 English League Cup.
### **Champions League lifeline**
It is rare that such a major final has so much riding on it beyond the trophy itself.
Neither team has looked capable of challenging for a top five position in the Premier League, which would secure Champions League qualification. But in a season when both teams occupy the last safe spots before relegation, they have a mind-boggling lifeline to the Champions League via the Europa League.
The Champions League offers the prestige of playing beside teams like Real Madrid and Barcelona, draws prospective signings, and comes with huge financial rewards.
Real Madrid earned almost $240 million from winning the competition for a record-extending 15th time last season.
Total prize money has increased from $3.1 billion last season to $4.2 billion in this expanded season.
“It’s a great prize, and we know the significance of playing in the Champions League," Postecoglou said.
"But the club has been in the Champions League before. We haven’t won a trophy in a very long time.”
United, in particular, could do with some of that money at a time of job losses and cuts under new co-owner Jim Ratcliffe, while Amorim hopes to rebuild his squad in the offseason.
### **Trophy drought**
While a return to the Champions League is also enticing for Tottenham, the chance to end its trophy barren run may be even more appealing.
Not even top class managers like Mauricio Pochettino, Jose Mourinho or Antonio Conte ended Spurs' wait for major silverware.
It could be destiny that Postecoglou is the man to end the drought, having boldly predicted early in the season that he always wins a trophy in his second year.
That was true at previous clubs Brisbane Roar, Yokohama F Marinos and Celtic - but it would be remarkable if he continued that run on the back of such a desperate campaign.
“It’s not for the want of world class players. This club has had world class players,” Postecoglou says.
“It’s not for the want of world class managers. They’ve had world class managers. It’s something else that’s going to change this club.”
By contrast, United has continued to win trophies despite its failure to win the Premier League since former manager Alex Ferguson retired in 2013.
This could be the third straight year United ends the season with silverware after winning the 2023 League Cup and the 2024 FA Cup.
### **Under pressure**
Amorim replaced Erik ten Hag as United coach in November but has not been able to turn its form around.
He's lost 14 of his 26 league games, including six of the last eight.
While there has been no suggestion his job is under immediate threat, he has raised doubts about his position, admitting he is embarrassed by his team's form.
Postecoglou is two years into the job at Spurs and became the club's fourth permanent manager in four years when joining from Celtic in 2023.
A major trophy would put a different complexion on a season in which Spurs have dramatically fallen since he led them to a fifth-place finish in his first year.
He and Amorim have spoken of the similarities about their positions.
“I guess from an emotional standpoint and the noise around the club, we’re kind of dealing with similar things," Postecoglou said.
"Something that is so fantastic in terms of a European run, and also something that’s obviously the opposite of that, the other extreme in the league."