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Premier League final day scenarios for Chelsea’s Champions League hopes

After one of the worst major European finals ever witnessed in football history, Tottenham Hotspur ended a 17-year trophy drought, confirming their spot in next year’s Champions League (qualifiers), and forcing Manchester United manager Rúben Amorim into [an offer of footballing seppuku](https://www.football365.com/news/amorim-quit-conversation-compensation-man-utd-new-manager). I guess when you come out on the wrong end of [_“Lads, it’s Tottenham”_](https://www.theguardian.com/football/2014/oct/20/roy-keane-ferguson-manchester-united), you ain’t got no other options.

In any case, Spurs are thus the third team from the Premier League to qualify for next year’s Champions League, joining the top two finishers in the league, Liverpool and Arsenal. Three more will join them, places third through fifth. Sixth place will go to the Europa League and seventh will go to the UEFA Conference league. As things stand, Chelsea are currently fifth, but could still finish as high as third, and also as low as seventh.

So, what do we need to do on the final weekend against seventh-place Nottingham Forst to ensure a top-five finish?

Here are the scenarios to qualify for the **CHAMPIONS LEAGUE**:

1. If we WIN, we are IN.

2. If we DRAW, we would need either Newcastle or Aston Villa to lose. A Villa draw would also be okay.

3. If we LOSE, we would need Villa to lose and Newcastle to lose by three more than we just did.

Here are the scenarios for the **EUROPA LEAGUE**:

1. If we DRAW and Newcastle and Villa both win, we are in Europa

2. If we LOSE, we would need Newcastle to lose by two (if Villa also lose) or three more (if Villa win or draw) than we just did.

3. (OR if we WIN the UEFA Conference League final against Real Betis on Wednesday)

Last and certainly very least, here’s the scenario for the **CONFERENCE LEAGUE**:

1. We LOSE, Newcastle win and so do Villa. A draw for Villa would also have the same effect.

We cannot finish lower than seventh, so the Conference League is assured, but no one wants to do that thing again for another year.

Villa play Manchester United away; Newcastle are at home to Everton. Manchester City’s result, away to Fulham, doesn’t have a direct impact on whether we finish top-five or not.

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