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Newcastle United Champions League permutations explained ahead of Everton showdown

Newcastle United are in contention to qualify for the Champions League heading into the final day of the Premier League season.

Newcastle United know exactly what is at stake heading into the final day of the Premier League season with Everton the visitors to St. James' Park on Sunday.

A win for Eddie Howe's side would guarantee them a spot in next season's Champions League having missed out on European football for the 2024/25 campaign.

The Toon are already guaranteed a Conference League spot having triumphed in the Carabao Cup earlier this season, but know that qualifying for the Champions League is key in unlocking their millions currently locked away by PSR.

There's also the potential that Newcastle could qualify for the Europa League heading into the final day of the season, so with that in mind, Chronicle Live has taken a look at all the permutations ahead of Sunday's game.

Qualifying for the Champions League with a win against Everton

Starting off nice and simple, a win against the Toffees guarantees the Magpies Champions League football next season, no matter what happens in other games. The Toon could finish as high as third, if Manchester City are beaten by Fulham at Craven Cottage.

What happens if Newcastle draw against Everton?

The Magpies can still qualify for the Champions League with a draw against David Moyes' side, though other results will have to go their way.

If Newcastle draw and Aston Villa fail to beat Manchester United, then the Toon are guaranteed a spot in the top five. This is because Chelsea and Nottingham Forest are set to face each other on the final day with only one team able to take maximum points.

However, if the Toon draw and Aston Villa win, but the game between Chelsea and Forest is a draw, Newcastle will also qualify for the Champions League.

Can Newcastle still qualify for the Champions League even if Everton win?

It would be far from ideal for Newcastle, with their fate reliant on other results, but it is still possible to qualify for the Champions League if they're beaten on the final day.

However, for that to happen, Manchester United must beat Aston Villa at Old Trafford.

How might Newcastle end up in the Europa League?

The Toon could also end up playing in the Europa League next season if they lose against Everton and Aston Villa defeat Manchester United on Sunday. If Chelsea and Forest draw, then the Blues and the Villains would occupy the remaining spots in the top five, if the Magpies are beaten.

Could Newcastle end up in the Conference League?

Now this is where it gets a bit messy. If Newcastle lose to Everton by at least three more goals than Chelsea loses to Forest, Aston Villa get a win at Man United and Enzo Maresca's side then loses the Conference League Final, the Toon would drop into Europe's third-tier competition.

It's an unlikely prospect, but you can never say never in football, especially with goal difference swings taken into account.

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