Newcastle United take on Everton at St James’ Park in the Premier League.
Here we are, the final day of the Premier League season - and Newcastle United, as we all know, are right in the mix, right where they want to be.
The Magpies know a win against Everton at St James’ Park on the final day of the campaign will guarantee them a spot in next season’s Champions League. They might not even need that, of course, depending on results elsewhere. However, get three in the bag and it doesn’t matter what happens with Chelsea, Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, Eddie Howe & Co’s destiny is sealed - show me the way to Barcelona!
So, with Sunday in mind, we asked AI tool Grok to predict how the weekend game will play out v David Moyes’ Toffees. And here’s what it said.
The context
Grok says: “Newcastle are in strong form, sitting fourth in the Premier League with 66 points, level with Chelsea and Aston Villa. They’ve won their last six home league matches and have a strong historical record, winning their final league game in eight of the last ten seasons. The Opta supercomputer gives Newcastle a 67.5% chance of victory based on 10,000 pre-match simulations, reflecting their dominance at home.”
On the opposition, it says: “Everton, under David Moyes, have secured 28 points since January 19, 2025, showing resilience, but their away form is weaker, with only one win in their last eight final league games. They’re locked in 13th place, with no positional stakes, which might affect motivation. Their defense may be weakened, potentially missing key players like Jarrad Branthwaite and James Tarkowski.”
Key players and injuries
Grok says: “Newcastle’s attack is potent, led by Alexander Isak (questionable due to a groin injury) and Anthony Gordon, though Joelinton and Lewis Hall are out. Everton’s attack, featuring Iliman Ndiaye (9 goals in 32 matches), has found form, but their defensive injuries could be costly against Newcastle’s attacking depth.”
Head-to-head
Grok says: “Historically, Newcastle have won 16 of 30 home games against Everton, with a goal difference of 50-36. Recent matches have been tight, with a 0-0 draw in October 2024, but Newcastle’s current home form and Everton’s defensive vulnerabilities tilt the scales. Matches between these teams average 2.94 goals, and over 2.5 goals is likely given both teams’ recent scoring trends.”
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Key factors
Grok things three things will play a huge factor in the result. It says: “Newcastle’s need for a win to secure Champions League qualification adds motivation. St. James’ Park’s atmosphere is expected to be electric, boosting the hosts. Everton’s potential defensive absences could expose them to Newcastle’s attacking flair.”
It says: “While Everton could keep it competitive, Newcastle’s home strength and higher stakes make a narrow victory likely.”
Prediction: Newcastle United 2-1 Everton
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