Brock Bowers is being over-drafted in early Best Ball contests. Today, we continue with our series of fantasy articles designed to help you create a championship best ball roster. The fantasy community is buying Bowers at his ceiling, and he is nowhere near the value he was at his time last year.
Earlier in the off-season, we highlighted multiple Fantasy takeaways from the 2024 season. One of the major points we emphasized was whether you won a high-stakes fantasy championship or are a recreational player who won your home league, be proactive. The NFL calendar is year-round. Be the savvy fantasy player who is on top of past season results and analyzes the data to use it to their advantage.
The Fantasy Community is Currently Overpaying for Brock Bowers
Is Bowers Worth His Current ADP of 15?
First, let us start with this. Regardless of the format, we are in no way telling you not to draft Brock Bowers in 2025 fantasy leagues. We are simply making a case that he is being overvalued based on his current ADP. Last season, the fantasy industry was able to get Bowers at pick 100.5 or the eighth round of fantasy drafts. He then proceeded to finish the 2024 fantasy Season as the overall TE1. Bowers smashed his ADP. This year, when you drafted him, it cost you a second-round pick, and the value simply is not there.
To further the point, let’s use Detroit Lions tight end Sam LaPorta. In 2023, LaPorta finished the season as the overall TE1 with an ADP of 109.3. What happened in 2024, he was being overvalued. LaPorta went off the draft boards as the TE1 and an ADP of 36. The result, he finished as the overall TE8. Still very good, but he was overvalued based on his ADP. We fear the fantasy community is making the same mistake this year with Brock Bowers. He simply is not the value he was in 2024 and is being drafted before players such as A.J. Brown, De’Von Achane, and Drake London.
Where Does Brock Bowers Fit Within the New Raiders Offense?
The Las Vegas Raiders hired Coach Pete Carroll and, more importantly for Bowers, signed quarterback Geno Smith. Smith is an upgrade over prior Raider signal callers Aiden O’Connell and Gardner Minshew, who finished 2024 QB 39 and QB 36, respectively. The question is how much better, though. Smith was last season as QB14, and in 2023, when he was QB19.
Further, in 2022, under Carroll, Seattle targeted the tight end position on just 26.6% of their throws. In 2023, through their first eight games, just 17.2%.
The counter to that would be the Seahawks never had a Brock Bowers on their team, and that is a fair point. But we will say this. If Bowers is currently being drafted as the TE1 at pick 15, then how can Smith be drafted as QB25? That was similar to last season when both Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp were going off draft boards as top 14 wide receivers, and yet Matthew Stafford was drafted as QB19. The math simply does not add up. If Smith ends up finishing as the 25th-best fantasy quarterback this season, what confidence do you have that Bowers finishes as the overall TE1 and pays off his current ADP?
Main Photo: [Kirby Lee] – USA Today Sports