Arsenal’s narrow 1–0 win carried more weight than the scoreline suggests. The performance revealed patterns that continue to shape Mikel Arteta’s side early in the campaign: reliance on the right-sided axis for chance creation, a solid defensive base anchored by Saliba and Gabriel, and an attack that creates fewer chances than expected but often finds efficiency in decisive moments.
The data shows both strengths and potential vulnerabilities. Arsenal are establishing control in possession and defensive stability, but attacking variety and striker integration remain incomplete. This week’s analysis breaks down those themes and situates them in the broader seasonal context.
Attack: A Right-Sided Reliance
The Ødegaard–Saka–White Triad
Once again, the majority of Arsenal’s progressive actions and final third entries came through the right flank. Ødegaard orchestrated, Saka carried, and White overlapped to stretch the line. Between them, they accounted for more than half of Arsenal’s progressive passing sequences and most of the Goal Probability Added (GPA) leading into shots.
The strength is clear: Arsenal have a repeatable mechanism for entering the attacking third. The risk is equally clear: predictability. If an opponent can overload or deny that channel, Arsenal’s attack risks stalling.
The Quiet Left
On the left, Martinelli and Calafiori were active but not productive. Touches were there, but end product was missing. Martinelli’s dribbles often ended in blocked shots or low-value crosses. Calafiori, cautious in buildup, limited vertical progression until his decisive goal-scoring run. Arsenal’s best chance of the match (xG 0.95, Calafiori’s finish) came precisely because the left side finally committed numbers forward — an exception rather than the rule.
Striker Isolation
Viktor Gyökeres continues to find himself detached from Arsenal’s buildup. His touches in the penalty area were limited, and his involvement in pre-shot actions remained minimal. The striker’s profile promises physical presence and hold-up play, but the data so far shows little integration into Arsenal’s combination patterns. Unless Arsenal diversify service — especially from the left or through central progression — Gyökeres risks being reduced to a decoy.
Shot Profile
Nine attempts, 1.2 expected goals (xG), one high-quality chance converted. Arsenal compressed their attacking output into efficiency rather than volume. While this reflects control — minimizing chaotic exchanges — it also exposes the margin of error. Against opponents capable of scoring from half-chances, this conservative shot creation could be punished.
Defense: Stability and Wide Duels
The Saliba–Gabriel Partnership
Arsenal’s central pairing once again formed a strong base. Saliba led in distribution, stepping forward to initiate buildup, while Gabriel acted as cover, sweeping behind. Together, they limited central penetration and dominated aerial duels. United’s few central forays rarely advanced beyond the edge of Arsenal’s box.
Defensive Action Map
The cluster of Arsenal’s defensive interventions tells the story: most came in wide areas. United sought to attack the flanks, drawing Timber and Saka into repeated duels. Arsenal’s wide players were often under pressure — ground duel win rate was just 41.2%, skewed by struggles on the wings. The center held, but wide containment required significant collective effort.
Arsenal’s defensive actions vs Manchester United show a clear concentration in wide areas, with the back line holding firm centrally. Data via Cannon Stats.
Goalkeeper Role
David Raya’s role as a pressure reliever was evident. His sweeping outside the box prevented transitions from turning dangerous. Short distribution worked smoothly, maintaining Arsenal’s controlled buildup. But his long passing was less reliable (25% completion), occasionally conceding possession cheaply. The trade-off remains: security in short buildup, risk in stretching the field.
Midfield: Control with Limitations
Zubimendi the Anchor
Martin Zubimendi anchored the midfield with stability. His distribution was safe and reliable, though rarely penetrative. Ball retention was high, but progressive actions were few. Arsenal gained security but little vertical thrust.
Rice the Two-Way Engine
Declan Rice pushed higher than usual, pressing into advanced zones and contributing to Arsenal’s defensive volume. Offensively, his impact was muted with shots from range but with minimal xG contribution. His role tilted toward stabilizing transitions rather than unlocking defenses.
Ødegaard the Creative Hub
The numbers underline Ødegaard’s centrality: highest passing volume, most progressive passes, most carries into the final third, and most Goal Probability Added. Arsenal’s attack flows through him to a degree that borders on dependence. When he receives space, Arsenal create; when denied, progression bottlenecks.
Merino the Balancer
Introduced as a substitute, Mikel Merino offered aerial presence and defensive solidity. His contribution in chance creation was limited, but his presence helped Arsenal manage the game state with a lead. This suggests Arteta sees him as a stabilizer rather than a disruptor.
Tactical Shifts
Overloads with Risk
The right-sided overload remains Arsenal’s default offensive mechanism. Its productivity is undeniable, but the repetition risks predictability. Future opponents may mirror-press or commit an extra defender to suffocate this zone. Arsenal need a counterbalance on the left to keep their attack varied.
Phased Pressing
Arsenal’s pressing was applied in bursts rather than sustained waves. Data shows intensity spikes around the 15th, 60th, and 80th minutes. This phased approach may be designed to conserve energy while targeting moments of opponent vulnerability. It worked here but carries risk if opponents play through the lulls.
Compact Mid-Block
After taking the lead, Arsenal reverted to a compact mid-block. Lines were disciplined, with limited gaps between midfield and defense. This approach reduced risk but ceded some initiative. The trade-off: control without counter-punching threat. Against higher-scoring sides, this could invite pressure.
Full-Back Asymmetry
Ben White advanced regularly, overlapping to stretch play, while Calafiori played more cautiously. The asymmetry created balance but also tilted Arsenal’s build toward the right. Calafiori’s decisive attacking run showed what can happen when he joins forward movements, hinting at untapped potential.
Player Trends in Context
Ødegaard: Creative dominance continues. His influence is statistical and tactical. Arsenal need alternative progression routes to reduce over-reliance.
Saka: High involvement but inefficient in duels. He remains Arsenal’s primary pressure breaker but risks burnout if too much is funneled his way.
Calafiori: Quietly solid, now with a decisive attacking contribution. He looks increasingly settled and offers controlled buildup plus occasional bursts forward.
Gyökeres: Integration still incomplete. His movement and presence are there, but Arsenal’s patterns have not yet adjusted to exploit him fully.
Emerging Patterns
Attack remains lopsided. The right side produces; the left lingers. Arsenal need balance.
Midfield stability is strong but narrow. Zubimendi secures, Rice supports, Ødegaard creates. But progression relies too heavily on one player.
Defense is secure centrally. Saliba and Gabriel provide assurance, while Raya’s short distribution helps but long passing lags.
Efficiency trumps volume. Arsenal are creating fewer chances but capitalizing on high-quality moments. This maximizes control but narrows the margin for error.
Conclusion
Arsenal’s current profile is that of a controlled, efficient side built on defensive stability and right-sided creativity. The model works against mid-tier opposition but shows warning signs: striker isolation, left-side under-production, and over-reliance on Ødegaard.
The next phase of the season will test whether Arsenal can broaden their attack, integrate Gyökeres into buildup, and sustain pressing intensity across full matches. The foundation is strong. The challenge now is to expand without losing the control that defines Arteta’s Arsenal.