Which team will win the Premier League this season? Stay up to date with our live Opta supercomputer predictions for the 2025-26 Premier League title race.
Liverpool won their second Premier League title in 2024-25, finishing the season with a 10-point lead over second place Arsenal in the table. Can Arne Slot’s side secure successive English top-flight league titles for the first time since the 1980s or will another team steal their crown in 2025-26?
Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal are tipped to be strong contenders yet again, but will they ultimately suffer more disappointment?
Manchester City finished 2024-25 in third place after a record-breaking run of four consecutive Premier League titles between 2021 and 2024. Can Pep Guardiola lead them back to the top of the league this time around to add to his six Premier League title wins?
Chelsea head into the season as the “best football team in the world” after lifting the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, while Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur will look to improve on terrible performances last time out to once again challenge at the top.
You can’t rule out every other team following Leicester City’s sensational shock title in 2015-16, but Aston Villa and Newcastle United will probably fancy their chances more than most others in the competition.
You can keep up with the latest Premier League title projections by the Opta supercomputer throughout the 2025-26 season on this page.
How Does the Opta Supercomputer Model Work?
Opta’s League Prediction model estimates the likelihood of teams finishing in each position in the competition. We can therefore see how successful a team’s season is likely to be, whether it’s their relegation or title chances.
The model estimates the probability of each match outcome (win, draw or loss) by using betting market odds and Opta Power Rankings. The odds and rankings are based on historical and recent team performances.
The model considers the strength of opponents by using these match outcome probabilities and simulates the remaining fixtures in the competition thousands of times. By analysing the outcome of each of these simulations, the model can see how often teams finished in each league position to create our final predictions.
Premier League Stats Opta
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