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Patriots vs. Giants prediction, picks and best bets for NFL preseason Week 3

The New England Patriots look to accomplish an unbeaten preseason tonight when they hit the road to take on the also unbeaten New York Giants. This will be the last chance for players to prove themselves in live action before rosters are cut to 53, so expect plenty of intensity.

Kickoff is set for 8:00 PM EST with the game airing on Amazon Prime Video. Those looking to wager on this matchup are in luck: sportsbooks offer plenty of markets that are available to users for a more vested interest in the game.

The oddsmakers favor New York ahead of kickoff as the Giants are 6.5-point favorites across all of Massachusetts’ top sportsbooks. The over/under for the game can be found between 37.5 and 38.5 points.

Patriots vs. Giants predictions and best bets

New England Patriots +6.5: -105 at FanDuel

New England Patriots Over 13.5: -145 at bet365

New England Patriots 175+ Receiving Yards: -152 at FanDuel

The Patriots haven’t just won each of their first two preseason games; they’ve controlled them. The team had already established double-digit leads by halftime, and now heads into Week 3 against one of the eight other unbeaten teams. It’s clear this preseason is important for New England to build culture and momentum heading into the regular season; they’re underestimated as such large underdogs in this matchup.

Oddsmakers aren’t expecting the Patriots to score a lot, but the offense has proven to be efficient so far. After a 48-point opener, the team continued to put forth 20 points against a stout Vikings’ defense. I like their chances to get 14 or more in this one.

A New England quarterback has had over 100 yards in each of the two preseason outings thus far. With the collection of talent at wide receiver, the team seems focused on creating production through the air. It’s worth mentioning that the playcallers will be incentivized to call passing plays tonight to help the team narrow down their wideout room to set the official 53-man roster.

Patriots vs. Giants moneyline analysis

Why Giants could win as the favorite

Best odds:-275 at Fanatics

The Giants are the projected favorite across the board in this matchup for all major sportsbooks. Fanatics gives New York the best chance of victory, offering a moneyline of -320, with Fanatics offering the best value to bettors at -275.

New York’s backup quarterback room is one of the best in the league. The offense has been able to find a nice rhythm with rookie Jaxson Dart getting a majority of the offensive snaps. While the team has simplified the offense to help Dart build confidence, it has fared well against the base coverage looks that opposing defenses have run against it.

Even if the Patriots attempt to run more complex looks, the Giants have proven flexible with their game plan. The team had 17 different players catch a pass last week. That spread of attack is a great way to limit the opposition’s chance to limit your production.

The Giants’ defense has shone during this preseason. Week 1 was a nice showcase of the ability to slow the run against Buffalo, but Week 2, the unit proved capable of limiting the passing game as well. Both elements will be crucial for the team to finish the preseason unbeaten.

Why Patriots could win as the underdog

Best odds:+260 at FanDuel

Oddsmakers across all the top sportsbooks view the Patriots as underdogs, but the line offered varies by platform. Fanatics sportsbook gives New England the best chance to win with a moneyline of +220, while FanDuel provides the best value at +260.

Plenty of excitement has circulated this offseason around Drake Maye, but the team’s backup quarterbacks have proven to be efficient enough to keep the team in rhythm during the game. Josh Dobbs put forward an 11/16 performance with 106 yards and a touchdown against a stingy Vikings’ defense to help the team win 20-12 last week.

New England’s defense has impressed this preseason. The team has allowed just 30 points across both contests, tied for the seventh-best in the NFL. They were especially disruptive last week when the unit combined for four sacks on the night.

The Patriots have clearly put plenty of emphasis on generating preseason success as a means of building confidence ahead of the regular season. There’s plenty of impressive play to do so with young contributors like Efton Chism III, TreVeyon Henderson, and Craig Woodson helping elevate this roster.

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