The New York Giants finalized their 53-man roster on August 26, with cut-down day delivering some tough surprises. Among the most notable moves were the release of quarterback Tommy DeVito, a fan favorite known as “Tommy Cutlets,” versatile two-way contributor Elijah Chatman, and tight end Greg Dulcich, who had tied for the preseason lead in touchdown receptions. Other names on the cut list included Tre Hawkins III, Jake Kubas, Dante “Turbo” Miller, Ihmir Smith-Marsette, and Dalen “Juice” Wells Jr. While those decisions were difficult, the Giants held onto key depth at skill positions, including receivers like Jalin Hyatt and tight end Daniel Bellinger, while locking in Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston, and rookie Jaxson Dart as their quarterback trio.
The cuts came after one of the strongest preseason performances in franchise history. The Giants went 3-0, racking up 107 total points across victories over the Bills, Jets, and Patriots. It marked the first time in team history they scored 30 or more points in three straight preseason games, and only the seventh undefeated preseason overall. Pro Football Focus graded New York as the top team in the league through August, citing strong marks in offense, pass blocking, and the ground game. Analysts cautioned, however, that preseason dominance doesn’t always translate once the regular season begins.
Perhaps just as encouraging was the return of left tackle Andrew Thomas, the anchor of the offensive line, who finally practiced near the end of the preseason. His presence is seen as indispensable for both Wilson and Dart, giving the Giants stability up front as they prepare for the regular season. With first-round pick Abdul Carter already flashing disruptive potential on defense and Dart showing big-play ability throughout the preseason, New York’s young core is giving fans reason for optimism.
Following New York’s preseason sweep, experts updated their Giants-Commanders Week 1 outlook. Analysts pointed to the team’s strong depth, promising rookie performances, and the health of key veterans like Thomas as factors shaping the latest projections as the Giants head to Washington for the season opener.
Giants vs. Commanders: NFL Week 1 betting preview
Take a look at the interactive widget below for the most up-to-date spread, total, and moneyline odds, along with refreshed win probabilities for the Giants-Commanders NFC East matchup at Northwest Stadium.
Game details
Here’s the key info for the Giants vs. Commanders ballgame, including the location and kickoff time.
Teams:New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders
Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
Location: Northwest Stadium
NFL injuries:Check the latest updates to the official NFL injury report
Odds
Odds for the key markets in the Giants-Commanders NFL matchup.
Spread: Commanders favored at -6
Total (Over/Under): 45
Moneyline Odds: Giants +225, Commanders -265
The odds and lines listed reflect the best available from select sportsbooks at the time of publishing and are subject to change as updates occur.
Promos
Our favorite promos for local Giants fans planning to bet on the NFL in 2025.
Expert prediction: Giants vs. Commanders
Dimers’ predictive model simulated the Giants-Commanders Week 1 matchup 10,000 times. The results give Washington a 74% chance to win, compared to 26% for New York.
The projection reflects the average performances across those simulations and offers an early look at how the NFC East rivals stack up heading into the opener.
Giants vs. Commanders best bet
The recommended play for Week 1 is the Over on 45 total points. That number comes directly from Dimers’ data-driven model, which factors in offensive efficiency, defensive matchups, and game pace.
With both teams showing the ability to generate explosive plays, the Over presents value as the regular season begins.
Score prediction for Giants vs. Commanders
Dimers projects Washington to prevail in a competitive game, with a predicted final score of Commanders 26, Giants 20. This outcome is based on the aggregated results of 10,000 simulations, balancing New York’s improving offense against Washington’s more established attack.
Conclusion
The Giants’ perfect preseason has given fans plenty of reasons to be optimistic, with Jaxson Dart flashing potential and Andrew Thomas reinforcing the offensive line. Still, predictive models favor Washington heading into Week 1, with the Commanders holding a clear edge in both the spread and win probability. For New York, carrying preseason momentum into a hostile road environment will be the first big test of whether this roster can translate August success into regular-season results.
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