The Green Bay Packers schedule is difficult. The team are forecasted to be competitive in the 2025 NFL season, but their win probabilities vary a little too much for most fans’ liking. We looked at each game according to expert analysis, betting odds, and predictive models, and here is a matchup-by-matchup breakdown with predicted win likelihoods for each game.
Green Bay Packers Schedule: Game-by-Game Win Likelihood
Week
Opponent
Venue
Consensus Odds*
Favorable Outcome
Model Prediction
Win Likelihood
1
Detroit Lions
Home (Lambeau)
Toss-up (GB -1.5)
Slight underdog
Loss
45%
2
Washington Comm.
Home (Lambeau)
Packers slight favorite
Favorite
Win
60%
3
Cleveland Browns
Away
Packers solid favorite
Heavy favorite
Win
70%
4
Dallas Cowboys
Away
Toss-up (GB -1.5)
Small favorite
Win/Loss split
50%
5
BYE
—
6
Cincinnati Bengals
Home (Lambeau)
Packers modest favorite
Slight favorite
Loss
55%
7
Arizona Cardinals
Away
Packers modest favorite
Slight favorite
Win
55%
8
Pittsburgh Steelers
Away
Slight Packers edge
Slight favorite
Win
54%
9
Carolina Panthers
Home (Lambeau)
Packers strong favorite
Big favorite
Win
75%
10
Philadelphia Eagles
Home (Lambeau)
Even/Eagles slight favorite
Underdog
Loss
47%
11
New York Giants
Away
Packers clear favorite
Favorite
Win
65%
12
Minnesota Vikings
Home (Lambeau)
Packers favored
Favorite
Win
60%
13
Detroit Lions
Away
Packers underdog
Underdog
Loss
40%
14
Chicago Bears
Home (Lambeau)
Packers favored
Favorite
Win
60%
15
Denver Broncos
Away
Slight Packers underdog
Slight underdog
Loss
45%
16
Chicago Bears
Away
Slight Packers edge
Slight favorite
Loss
52%
17
Baltimore Ravens
Home (Lambeau)
Packers slight underdog
Underdog
Loss
45%
18
Minnesota Vikings
Away
Packers slight favorite
Slight favorite
Win
55%
*Odds and projections based on the most current betting lines and prediction models as of August 28, 2025
Dec 23, 2024; Green Bay, Wisconsin, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) throws a pass during warmups prior to the game against the New Orleans Saints at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images
Season Prediction and Analysis
Having examined not just 2024 records, 2025 offseason additions, the 2025 NFL Draft including key players like Matthew Golden, we also looked to current betting lines across sportsbooks like YouBet.com to find some common ground. Yes, we have high hopes that the Pack will indeed challenge Detroit this year for the division, but the reality is that it’s a tough road with some strong home games. They will likely be the difference-maker.
Projected Win Total: 9 or 10 wins, but backed into the corner, I’ll take 10
Division Outlook: Packers are predicted to be division contenders but not clear favorites over the Lions. Let’s look at the Wildcard as being a legit shot, but keep pressure on the Lions along the way and wait for a slip-up.
Playoff Likelihood: With odds pricing around -135 to make the playoffs, Green Bay’s playoff chances sit just above 55%
Strengths: The team’s defense, offensive efficiency (particularly in DVOA rankings), and home-field advantage in several tough matchups
Risks: Division performance is a concern, especially since five of their six division games are in the final stretch of the season, where late injuries and cold weather can be factors. The health of quarterback Jordan Love is of course pivotal.
Final Outlook
The Packers’ most likely wins are against the Browns, Panthers, Cardinals, Giants, and Bears at home, while toughest games (lowest win rates) are projected versus the Eagles, Ravens, Cowboys, and both Lions matchups. Overall, expect Green Bay to be a playoff contender with a predicted finish around 9-10 wins, though anything from 8-11 wins is mathematically plausible depending on in-season variables.
main image credit: © William Glasheen / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images