Newcastle United travel to Leeds United’s Elland Road - and here’s what AI thinks will happen.
While the display at Aston Villa was encouraging, while a touch toothless, it was the firecracker of an encounter at St James’ Park on Monday - a 3-2 last gasp loss to Liverpool - that left the Magpies bruised but proud, despite an undeserving defeat. That performance, after a summer of disappointments to that point, was just what the doctor ordered - and has inspired renewed confidence in the team, who showed fight, grit and togetherness in abundance.
But what comes next? Will Leeds see a dip or will it be more of the same? Will No Anthony Gordon impact things? And will the loss of midfielders mean a shift in approach from Eddie Howe?
Here’s how AI predicts Leeds United v Newcastle United in the Premier League.
Leeds United v Newcastle United - the context
Leeds United: Newly promoted, Leeds started their 2025/26 campaign with a 1-0 win over Everton (Lukas Nmecha penalty) but suffered a 5-0 loss to Arsenal. They also drew 1-1 against Sheffield Wednesday in the EFL Cup. Their attacking options include Joel Piroe, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, and Lukas Nmecha, with Piroe likely to start but struggling for form. Leeds’ pacey wingers like Wilfried Gnonto and Daniel James could exploit Newcastle’s defence, especially with potential absences. Their home atmosphere at Elland Road is a significant advantage.
Newcastle United: Newcastle drew 0-0 with Aston Villa and lost 2-3 to Liverpool, showing resilience despite being down to 10 men after Anthony Gordon’s red card. Gordon is suspended for this match, and injuries to Sandro Tonali and Joelinton (though not long-term) may see them miss out. William Osula, who scored against Liverpool, could be a key substitute, while Alexander Isak’s availability remains uncertain due to transfer speculation. Newcastle’s defence, potentially featuring Fabian Schar and Kieran Trippier, may be vulnerable to Leeds’ pace.
Historical data shows a competitive rivalry, with Newcastle winning 14, Leeds winning 7, and 8 draws in 29 matches since 1995. Recent matches have been high-scoring, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
Leeds have a strong home record (6 wins, 4 draws in their last 10 home games), while Newcastle have struggled away (0 wins in their last 5 away games).
Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with Leeds conceding 5 goals against Arsenal and Newcastle conceding 3 against Liverpool.
Leeds United v Newcastle United - predicted score & scorers
Considering Leeds’ home advantage, Newcastle’s absences (Gordon suspended, Tonali and Joelinton doubtful), and both teams’ attacking potential but defensive frailties, I predict a 2-1 victory for Leeds United in a closely contested match.
Leeds Goals: Gnonto (1), Calvert-Lewin (1)
Newcastle Goal: Osula (1)
Final Score: Leeds United 2-1 Newcastle United
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