Taty Castellanos of West Ham United (obscured) celebrates scoring his team's second goal with teammates during the Premier League match between Burnley and West Ham United at Turf Moor on February 07, 2026 in Burnley, England.placeholder image
Taty Castellanos of West Ham United (obscured) celebrates scoring his team's second goal with teammates during the Premier League match between Burnley and West Ham United at Turf Moor on February 07, 2026 in Burnley, England. | Getty Images
West Ham United gave their survival hopes a huge boost with a 2-0 win over Burnley on Saturday afternoon
West Ham United are standing strong in the Premier League relegation battle as they are now just three points from safety.
Nottingham Forest lost 3-1 to Leeds United on Friday night as the Hammers responded with a 2-0 win over Burnley at Turf Moor on Saturday afternoon. Those results leave the Hammers on 23 points with Forest on 26.
Leeds United and Tottenham Hotspur are six points above the Irons, as are Crystal Palace but they still have to face Brighton and Hove Albion this weekend.
There are just 13 games remaining for West Ham to try and climb above one of Forest, Leeds or the likes of Spurs and Palace.
Nuno Espírito Santo’s side have won three of their last four games to give themselves plenty of hope.
Speaking after the win over Burnley, the West Ham boss said: “It starts from there. We are aware of the problems that we've been having. We have to solve it, we have to fix it.
“Individually, the players in defence were OK, but it's more about the line, the way we can connect with each other, covering spaces. We did well, we did well, we did well.
“Like I said, a clean sheet. Moving forward, it's important, it's important. We knew that today was going to be very, very tough, but everything starts from there, our organisation when we press.
“So, congratulations to the boys because they did an amazing job today.”
How many points West Ham need to avoid relegation
However, that total could possibly be higher this season with West Ham only 13 off that total. While 36 points is the average, that total would only have been enough for survival 60 per cent of the time.
The survival rate on 38 points is 80 per cent while it is 90 per cent for 40 points while no team has been relegated with 43 points or more.
West Ham are the team to be relegated with the most points when they were sent down in 2002-03 with 42 points.
According to Opta, that is likely the total they will need again if they want to stay up. In a final predicted Premier League table by the data experts, they predict West Ham to end the season on around 36 points.
That would put them in 18th, behind Nottingham Forest in 17th. Leeds United are tipped to finish in 16th with Tottenham in 15th and Crystal Palace in 14th.
Opta’s predict table gives an average points tally from 10,000 simulations with West Ham’s average tally coming in at 36.37. Forest’s total is 41.58, meaning West Ham would need 42 points and a better goal difference to survive.
That would mean 19 points from their last 13 matches - and while it is a hard task, it is not impossible given their current form. Leeds’ average points prediction is 44.24 while it is 46.28 for Tottenham.
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