Leeds United statistically have the ‘easiest’ final 12 games of any Premier League club, while West Ham have the ‘hardest’.
Daniel Farke will have been relieved to see off Birmingham City on Sunday, but all attention now shuffles back to the Premier League.
Leeds’ six-point gap to the bottom three has us looking confident for survival. However, there’s a lot of football left to play.
Premier League fixtures mapped out: Do Leeds United have an easy survival run-in?
30 points by mid-February is a great return from Farke’s side. Should we maintain our rate of more than a point-per-game, we should have enough to stay up.
Our hopes of ticking over with consistent points on the board is helped by our remaining fixtures in the Premier League.
Matchweek Opponent Position Home/Away Opp’s home/away table position
27 Aston Villa 3rd Away 3rd
28 Manchester City 2nd Home 4th
29 Sunderland 11th Home 17th
30 Crystal Palace 13th Away 16th
31 Brentford 7th Home 10th
32 Man United 4th Away 4th
33 Wolves 20th Home 20th
34 Bournemouth 9th Away 9th
35 Burnley 19th Home 19th
36 Spurs 16th Away 18th
37 Brighton 14th Home 16th
38 West Ham 18th Away 17th
Seven of Leeds’ 12 remaining opponents are in the bottom five of the respective home or away tables, relative to where Leeds are playing them. For example, Wolves are the worst away side in the league ahead of our clash at Elland Road, while Spurs are 18th at home, as we travel to North London.
Compared: Leeds United’s run-in labelled the best in the Premier League, West Ham’s the worst
From that alone, it looks like Leeds have enough of a favourable run to target at least 10 more points in the final 12 games of the season.
Cannon Stats’ Scott Willis has shared a detailed graphic of every club’s remaining 12 games, ranked from the club with the most difficult run-in, down to the club with the most favourable.
Cannon Stats Premier League Remaining Fixture Difficulty – final 12 games
Arsenal have Chelsea, City, Newcastle left but overall have the 5th Easiest remaining schedule.
Man City's schedule is almost perfectly average.
No real big advantage or disadvantage here right now. pic.twitter.com/erT8wPXTAZ
— Scott Willis (@scottjwillis) February 13, 2026
As you can see, the two polar opposites of the graphic are quite important for us. Of course, I’m struggling to find the metrics used to quantify the ‘difficulty rating’ for each side, but you get a fairly accurate estimation anyway.
Leeds have the ‘easiest’ run of 12 games, while West Ham are deemed to have the hardest. You have to get to the 10th (Brighton) and 11th (Spurs) easiest run-ins before you find a direct rival of ours.
Obviously, all of this speculation on paper can blow back in faces when you consider what clubs might have to play for when fixtures come around. Will big-hitters in the Champions League rest players before playing West Ham? Will Leeds have to face Sunderland, Brentford, and Bournemouth sides mounting a shock charge for Europe?
There are plenty of factors that affect this and make it much less certain than a difficulty chart ever could. But, it’s a good gauge for what Leeds have coming up and what West Ham do. If we’re aiming for minimum eight more points, that means 14 are required from a brutal set of games for the Irons.
Plenty of reason to be optimistic.
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