Every match between now and the end of May feels like a mathematical equation, with Opta placing [West Ham’](https://www.claretandhugh.info/hammers-relegation-battle-boost-west-ham-source-reveals-exact-pablo-problem/)s chances of relegation at 70%. Bear in mind just a few weeks ago this figure [stood at 80%!](https://www.reddit.com/r/Hammers/comments/1qo98yf/opta_relegation_bs_or_realistic/)
Nottingham Forest, are 20.42% with Leeds at 3.88% and Tottenham Hotspur 3.81%. Under a month ago Nottingham Forest’s figure stood at 8% – so the trend is heading in the right direction.
Next up for the Hammers is the visit of Bournemouth, a side in excellent form with fourteen points from their last six games and sitting ninth in the table. A 2–0 win for West Ham, combined with a Liverpool victory on Sunday by the same scoreline over Nottingham Forest, would lift the Hammers out of the relegation zone. That shift would come down to goals scored, with West Ham edging Forest on that metric.
The psychological boost of climbing out of the bottom three would be huge, especially with a trip to Anfield looming a week later. West Ham haven’t won there since 2015, so the odds are hardly in their favour.
But that’s not the mindset Nuno Espírito Santo, his players, or us the supporters should adopt. Winning at least half of the remaining twelve games is entirely achievable. The focus must stay on collecting points; everything else happening around the Hammers is beyond their control.
The path to Premier League safety is still wide open, but only if the team commits to the belief that survival is earned one result at a time. I am sure Nuno will be reiterating this during training and in the dressing room. The equation is simple: focus, fight, and finish the job.
Every game is a Cup Final – COYI!