West Ham are edging closer to safetyplaceholder image
West Ham are edging closer to safety | Getty Images
A look at the relegation picture as West Ham continue to close the gap to safety.
West Ham made up more ground over the weekend in their bid for survival, but perhaps not as much as they would have liked. The Hammers drew at home to a tricky AFC Bournemouth side and later saw Nottingham Forest lose in stoppage time to Liverpool on Sunday, meaning a gain of one point on the East Midlands side.
Tottenham also lost in their North London derby with Arsenal, while Leeds United drew with Aston Villa. All that means West Ham are two points behind Forest and four behind Tottenham, while Leeds look as though they are pulling away from the relegation picture.
With the relegation battle truly hotting up, we have rounded up the current and predicted tables, as well as the run-ins to see how each team’s remaining games compare.
The current table
Here is the current relegation battle picture. We have left Wolves out, given the certainty of their relegation.
15th - Leeds United - 31pts // -9GD
16th - Tottenham Hotspur - 29pts // -1GD
17th - Nottingham Forest - 27 pts // -13GD
18th - West Ham - 25 pts // -17GD
19th - Burnley - 19pts // -23GD
The predicted final table
Here is the predicted final table, according to OPTA’s simulations.
15th - Leeds United - 45.28pts // Relegation probability - 2.33%
16th - Tottenham Hotspur - 43.39pts // Relegation probability - 4.35%
17th - Nottingham Forest - 39.65pts // Relegation probability - 23.08%
18th - West Ham - 35.84pts // Relegation probability - 71.44%
19th - Burnley - 29.07pts // Relegation probability - 97.60%
Run-ins compared
For this purpose, we will leave out Burnley given the likelihood they are going to be relegated.
Leeds United’s run-in
Man City (H), Sunderland (H), Crystal Palace (A), Brentford (H), Man Utd (A), Wolves (H), AFC Bournemouth (A), Burnley (H), Tottenham (A), Brighton (H), West Ham (A).
Tottenham’s run-in
Fulham (A), Crystal Palace (H), Liverpool (A), Nottingham Forest (H), Sunderland (A), Brighton (H), Wolves (A), Aston Villa (A), Leeds United (H), Chelsea (A), Everton (H).
Nottingham Forest’s run-in
Brighton (A), Man City (A), Fulham (H), Tottenham (A), Aston Villa (H), Burnley (H), Sunderland (A), Chelsea (A), Newcastle United (H), Man Utd (A), AFC Bournemouth (H).
West Ham’s run-in
Liverpool (A), Fulham (A), Man City (H), Aston Villa (A), Wolves (H), Crystal Palace (A), Everton (H), Brentford (A), Arsenal (H), Newcastle United (A), Leeds United (H).
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