Written by Matt Stevenson
Here is the xG from the Burnley match, which was disappointingly fairly even and goalless until AFCB had two big chances at the death. But neither went in, so it remained 0-0. The game started quickly, though, with chances immediately at both ends. First for Anthony, who beat Hill but dragged his effort wide (rated 1 in 16). From the goal kick, AFCB broke, Kroupa played in Evanson, who went around the keeper, but his effort was cleared off the line (3 in 10). Kroupi then had a shot blocked (1 in 12). In the 24th minute, Flemming poked at a loose ball following a corner (1 in 4, but this seems overestimated). The next three good chances fell to Burnley as AFCB stuttered, Foster delayed too long, allowing his shot to be blocked (1 in 12). From the corner, Scott blocked a close-range Humphries effort (1 in 10), and in the 41st minute, poor AFCB defending allowed Anthony to meet a Ward-Prowse corner unmarked near the far edge of the six-yard box, but his volley smashed against the crossbar (1 in 4). At half time, the xG was Burnley 0.92, AFCB 0.74.
The second half saw AFCB come back into the game, but up to the 66th minute had only a flicked Senesi header from a Hill through (1 in 8) that hit the side netting. In betw,een Flemming put a header over (1 in 4). Our next chance came from Jimenez, who appeared to make an attacking difference, who passed into Evanilson, who swept a difficult chance wide of the far corner (rated 1 in 4, but this is overestimated). In the 73rd minute, Hill got his head on a corner, but the ball was too high (so the 23% rating was also overestimated). Neither side was creating chances until the death, when AFCB fashioned a glorious chance. Scott had quick feet and released Truffert, who drove a cross into the middle. Unal was unmarked but connected poorly, and it went wide (1 in 2). You’d have backed a match-fit, confident player to bury it, but unfortunately, Unal looks neither at the minute. There was still one more chance, with Truffert finding Brooks, whose flicked header (1 in 3) agonisingly went wide of the far post. At the final whistle, the xG was Burnley 1.40, AFCB 2.55, with Understat having a smaller margin: Burnley 1.68, AFCB 2.37.
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Man of the Match against Burnley
Tavernier
Tavernier
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Hill
Hill
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Truffert
Truffert
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Scott
Scott
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Senesi
Senesi
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Smith
Smith
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Someone else
Someone else
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There were two changes from the Brentford game with Smith (15) replacing Jimenez at right back, and Kroupi (22) coming in for an injured Adams, with Christie (10) dropping deeper and Kroupi playing as the CAM. The first changes were in the 65th minute with Jimenez (20) replacing Smith in a straight swap and Adli (21) coming on for Christie, playing on the right with Tavernier (16) moving from there to a central position. In the 80th minute, Kroupi was withdrawn for Brooks (7), who appeared to play in the CAM role, until Rayan (37) was subbed for Unal (26) with AFCB playing a front two, with Brooks moving to the left side.
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Senesi attempted most passes with 88, Scott attempted most passes in the opposition’s half (30) and Rayan most in the final third (18). We averaged 79% pass completion, with only Scott of the starting 11 at 85% or over.
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AFCB attempted 26 crosses, being successful 7 times (Tavernier was successful 3 times from 4 and Truffert 2 from 3).
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AFCB created 16 chances (3 big). Burnley created 10 chances, 3 big. Kroupi and Tavernier created 4 chances each. Truffert created 2 big chances, and Kroupi one.
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We had 22 attempts (3 big), noting that chances can be provided after saves, deflections or a defensive error and not created. We hit the target 3 times. Burnley had 15 attempts, 3 serious, and hit the target 2 times. Evanilson had 6 attempts and Tavernier 4. The big chances fell to Brooks, Evanilson and Unal.
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The Opta expected goals had Evanilson as most likely to score (0.74), followed by Unal (0.50) and Brooks (0.38). For expected assists, Tavernier was top with 0.38, followed by Brooks (0.28) and Truffert (0.27).
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AFCB won 22 of 41 aerial duals. Hill won 7 from 10, Senesi won 6 from 9.
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AFCB won 16 of 20 tackles. Scott won 6 from 7, Smith 3 from 3 and Tavernier 2 from 2
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Senesi made most defensive actions with 17. Hill and Senesi made joint-most interceptions (3). Scott made most recoveries (8). Senesi made the most clearances (9), and Smith made most blocks (3).
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The foul count was AFCB 5, Burnley 11. Scott made 2 fouls and was fouled 4 times.
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DJ
I have been a writer and website administrator on the largest AFC Bournemouth fan website for almost 25 years. Previously on a now defunct fan network and since 2005 on vitalfootball.co.uk We have been nominated for various fan website awards down the years, however we have always been the bridesmaid…