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Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction: Serie A Preview

Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction: Serie A Preview

Ahead of this huge clash, two of Serie A‘s traditional heavyweights have maximum points on the board. We look ahead to the game with our Juventus vs AC Milan prediction and preview.

Juventus vs AC Milan: The Key Stats

The Opta supercomputer makes Juventus slight favourites for Sunday’s game, assigning them a 46.1% win probability to AC Milan’s 27.2%.

After victories against Torino and Venezia, Ruben Amorim could become the fourth coach to win his first three Serie A games in charge of Milan.

However, the Rossoneri have failed to score in any of their last six Serie A meetings with Juventus – their worst goalless run against any team in the competition.

Both Juventus and AC Milan missed out on UEFA Champions League qualification in dramatic circumstances last season, with Roma and Como pipping them to the top four on the final day of the Serie A campaign.

But two games into 2026-27, things are looking up for both the Bianconeri and the Rossoneri, after taking maximum points so far.

Juventus have defeated Frosinone 1-0 and Parma 2-0 to kickstart their first full season under Luciano Spalletti, and they could now keep three clean sheets to open a Serie A campaign for just the second time in the last 10 years, after starting with six shutouts in 2024-25.

The Turin giants could also win their first three Serie A matches for the second consecutive season, after doing so in 2025-26 under Igor Tudor.

It would be the second time in their history that they have achieved that feat in back-to-back seasons under different head coaches, after 1985-86 and 1986-87 with Giovanni Trapattoni and Rino Marchesi.

Milan, meanwhile, have overcome Torino 2-1 and Venezia 2-0, making a strong start to the Ruben Amorim era.

The former Manchester United boss could now become only the fourth Rossoneri coach to win his first three Serie A games in charge of the club, after Mario Sperone in 1952, Giuseppe Viani in 1956 and Luigi Bonizzoni in 1958.

Their most recent victory was notable for Gonçalo Ramos scoring his first Serie A goal, with the Portugal international beginning to repay his club-record €74m transfer fee after arriving from Paris Saint-Germain.

And Ramos cannot complain about a lack of service thus far, as he had the joint-most shots of any player across Serie A’s first two matchdays (13, alongside Armand Lauriente).

Goncalo Ramos shots for Milan

Goncalo Ramos shots for Milan

His 1.46 expected goals (xG), meanwhile, is a figure only bettered by three players – Roma’s Donyell Malen (2.78), Inter’s Francesco Pio Esposito (1.56) and Sassuolo’s Kieron Bowie (1.48).

Ramos is not the only player Juve will have to keep a close eye on, however, even if Milan allowed the striker’s international teammate Rafael Leão to join Galatasaray prior to the closure of the transfer window.

Adrien Rabiot – a player who is known very well to Juve’s supporters after spending five years at the Allianz Stadium from 2019 to 2024 – registered a goal and an assist in Milan’s previous away game, which also came in Turin, against Torino.

He could become the first non-Italian player in Serie A history to score for both clubs in the iconic Juventus versus Milan fixture. Even when including Italians, only Manuel Locatelli and Leonardo Bonucci have achieved that feat in the last 10 years.

Juve’s own big-name striking addition – Randal Kolo Muani – is yet to score this season despite amassing 1.33 xG, the fifth-highest figure of any player throughout Serie A’s opening two matchdays, and his wastefulness led to criticism from his head coach last week.

Randal Kolo Muani xG Serie A 2026-27

Randal Kolo Muani xG Serie A 2026-27

Indeed, the Bianconeri’s goals against Parma came from midfielders Nico González and Tuen Koopmeiners, and the Argentine boasts a good record in home Serie A fixtures against Milan, providing one goal and two assists in four such matches.

He could now score in back-to-back league games for the first time since June 2024, when he was still with Fiorentina.

Led by González and company, no side attempted more shots from outside the box than Juventus across the first two matchdays of this Serie A season (18, level with Sassuolo).

On the other hand, only Torino (three) have registered fewer than Milan (five, level with Monza), as they look to build attacks patiently in Amorim’s 3-4-3 system, asking the evergreen Luka Modric to dictate things from central midfield.

So, Sunday’s matchup should see an intriguing clash of styles between teams who have very similar aspirations and have made near-identical starts to the season.

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Juventus vs AC Milan Head-to-Head

Four of the last five Serie A matches between Juventus and Milan have ended goalless, including the last two.

These teams have not drawn more consecutive league games since 1973 (a run of four in a row), while they have never recorded more consecutive goalless encounters.

Indeed, Juve have kept a clean sheet in each of their last six Serie A matches against Milan – the last time the Bianconeri recorded more consecutive clean sheets against a single opponent in the competition was in 2016 (nine against Palermo).

As for Milan, this is the longest goalless run they have endured against a single opponent in their Serie A history.

However, the Rossoneri have remained unbeaten in five of their last six Serie A away games against Juventus (W2 D3) – keeping four clean sheets in the process (0.5 goals conceded per game on average). This sequence comes after a previous run of nine consecutive away defeats against the Bianconeri, in which they averaged two goals conceded per game.

Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction

The Opta supercomputer is siding with Juventus ahead of Sunday’s headline fixture.

Across 10,000 pre-match simulations conducted by our data-led model, the Bianconeri were triumphant in 46.1%, with 27.2% going the way of Milan.

Given the recent history of this fixture, a draw would not be entirely surprising, and 26.7% of our pre-match simulations finished level.

In the supercomputer’s 2026-27 season predictions, meanwhile, Juventus are assigned a 12.8% chance of winning the Scudetto, the third highest in the league. At 6.9%, Milan are fifth favourites, with Como (12.3%) splitting the duo.

Juventus vs Milan opta match prediction

Juventus vs Milan opta match prediction

Juventus vs AC MilanPredicted Lineups

Juventus: Guglielmo Vicario, Pierre Kalulu, Bremer, John Lucumí, Zeki Çelik, Francisco Conceição, Manuel Locatelli, Douglas Luiz, Jérémie Boga, Randal Kolo Muani, Kerim Alajbegovic.

Head coach: Luciano Spalletti

AC Milan: Mike Maignan, Mario Gila, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic, Samuel Chukwueze, Yunis Musah, Luka Modric, Davide Bartesaghi, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Alphadjo Cissé, Gonçalo Ramos.

Head coach: Ruben Amorim

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 16,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world, and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

Serie A Opta Stats

Serie A Opta Stats

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