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Top FPL Gameweek 5 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

Welcome to another edition of the FPL Captaincy Metrics, as we look ahead to Gameweek 5. Gameweek 4 went really well for our captaincy metrics, which resulted in picking Joao Pedro (12 points) over the more popular, Cole Palmer (5 points). We look forward to Gameweek 5 with not many popular options in the FPL community.

Link to all our FPL GW5 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!

FPL GW5 Captaincy Metrics

FPL GW5 Captaincy Metrics

FPL GW5 Captaincy Metrics

Erling Haaland tops the captaincy poll for the first week with a marginal 55% of the votes against Sunderland (H). Morgan Gibbs-White is second with 24% of the votes. Bruno Fernandes is third with he faces Fulham away from home. Dominick Calvert-Lewin is fourth with against a struggling Coventry at home, while Odegaard rounds up our captaincy candidates as he faces Sunderland at home.

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 5 Captain Picks

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 5 Captain Picks

For this analysis, we have used stats of the current season and will be adding stats of every gameweek until GW6. Post GW6, we will revert to the last 6 matches criteria.

Erling Haaland tops the table with 15 shots in the box, 7 big chances, and an xG of 3.34 in the season so far.

Calvert-Lewin is 2nd with an xG of 2.59 in the season so far. He’s also had 5 big chances and 9 shots inside the box.

Bruno Fernandes is 3rd with an xG of 2.29 in the season so far. He’s had 3 big chances and 6 shots inside the box.

Morgan Gibbs-White stands 4th with an xG of 1.59, managing 6 shot inside the box and 2 big chances.

Finally, Odegaard stands 5th with an xG of 1.00, managing 3 shots inside the box and 1 big chance in total.

Further Read: FPL GW5 Scout Selection- Top Picks for GW5 based on Stats and Matchups

Underlying numbers of candidate teams

Underlying numbers of candidate teams

Underlying numbers of candidate teams

Manchester United take the top spot and have registered 8.29 xG, 13 Big Chances, and 46 Shots inside the box in the season so far.

Manchester City are up next with 40 shots inside the box and 14 big chances during the period, and an xG of 7.68.

Arsenal are third with 36 shots inside the box and 10 big chances during the period, and an xG of 6.85.

Leeds United are fourth with 31 shots inside the box and 9 big chances during the period, and an xG of 6.41.

Finally, Nottingham Forest are last with 36 shots inside the box and 12 big chances during the period, and an xG of 6.16

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Fixture Difficulty of the Candidate Team in FPL GW5

Fixture Difficulty of the Candidate Team in FPL GW5

In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.

We will use FantasyFootballHub’s odds for the candidate’s Team’s Expected Goals and the odds of the opposition keeping a clean sheet.

Manchester Cityare top and have 2.51 xG odds, and their opposition has an 11% chance to keep a clean sheet as per the market odds.

Arsenaland Nottingham Forest are both second and have 2.03 xG odds, and their oppositions have a 16% chance to keep a clean sheet as per the market odds.

Manchester United are fourth with 1.98 xG odds, and their opposition has a 17% chance to keep a clean sheet as per the market odds.

Finally, Leeds United are last with 1.95 xG odds, and their opposition has a 17% chance to keep a clean sheet as per the market odds

Further Read: FPL GW5 – Fixtures and Players to Target for Gameweek 5

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 5 Captain Picks

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 5 Captain Picks

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 5 Captain Picks

In the fourth phase of the article, we have used the Projected Points tool available at Fantasy Football Hub.

Erling Haaland is first with a points projection of 6.9 in FPL Gameweek 5 vs Sunderland (H).

Morgan Gibbs-White is second with a 6.1 points projection in FPL Gameweek 5 vs Coventry (H).

Bruno Fernandes is third with 5.4 projected points this Gameweek vs Fulham (A).

Calvert-Lewin is fourth with a projection of 4.8 points against Crystal Palace (H).

Finally, Odegaard is last with a projection of 4.1 points in FPL Gameweek 5 vs Brighton (A).

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 5 Transfer Tips: Players to Buy, Avoid, Sell & Hold

Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 5 Captaincy metrics

Conclusion - Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 5 Captaincy metrics

Conclusion - Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 5 Captaincy metrics

Erling Haaland is back on top of the captaincy metrics with a cumulative rank factor of 5. Bruno Fernandes is second with a CRF value of 11. Gibbs-Whiteis third with a CRF value of 13, while Calvert-Lewin and Odegaard are joint-last with a CRF value of 15 each.

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW5

FPL Gameweek 5 Transfer Tips: Players to Buy, Avoid, Sell & Hold

FPL GW5 – Fixtures and Players to Target for Gameweek 5

Top FPL Gameweek 5 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & MetricsFPL GW5 Scout Selection- Top Picks for GW5 based on Stats and MatchupsAK’s FPL GW5 Team Reveal & Transfer Plans | 3x Top 5K FinishesFPL GW5 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Captaincy, Differentials & More

Link to all our FPL GW5 blogs, including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 5 of the 2025/26 FPL Season?

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